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Old 10-18-2016, 11:15am   #21
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Last night Netflix (NFLX) gapped up from about 99 to almost 119...we own 105 calls...

...woot!
Help me with the math here..
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Old 10-19-2016, 1:54pm   #22
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So a fun one that has been paying off for me lately is CBIS. Bought a few weeks ago at 0.01 and it is at 0.07 right now.

Looks like the legalization of cannabis oil is passing in California and that is making this stock jump. All of my latest buys have been in this same area, I just have a feeling that this is a great market and can only grow from here.

Another couple I am watching it batteries and lithium - as well as fire suppression systems (due to the advancement of lithium use).

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Old 10-20-2016, 10:16pm   #23
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Interesting how the price by volume indicator lines up with obvious support points. Nowhere near a sell though, IMO.

*That chart is self-updating.

Nice little wedge forming there. Gonna break up or down out of it. Which way does it break?
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Old 10-21-2016, 4:29pm   #24
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The stock market is all smoke and mirrors. This is what you should be paying attention to. Just sayin'....

The Surprising Relevance of the Baltic Dry Index - The New Yorker
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Old 10-27-2016, 4:34pm   #25
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So here we are with the S&P under support once agian.
Will 2142 turn into resistance or will it continue to be support?
Hey Polar Bear...
What are the options telling you?
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Old 10-27-2016, 10:14pm   #26
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So here we are with the S&P under support once agian.
Will 2142 turn into resistance or will it continue to be support?
Hey Polar Bear...
What are the options telling you?
The commercials are basically neutral. (435K contracts long, 447K contracts short). That's pretty neutral. As a point of contrast, back in the fall of '99, commercials were short by a margin of almost 3 to 1. Could see that train wreck coming a mile away. Primary difference, the big money can afford to be wrong for an unspecified time.

Two positions that did catch my eye- Commercials are long the British Pound in a big way (3:1), and short the Russian Ruble (4:1). Small traders are almost at the opposite numbers. Guess who I think is right?

CFTC Commitments of Traders Long Report - CME (Futures Only)

*These are futures remember. Each S&P contract is 250x the index value. So, over $500,000 a contract. That certainly separates the men from the boys.

*2nd Edit: Look at the calendar. October is traditionally a crappy month as mutuals sell off the losing positions of the year. Thanksgiving to February typically show the best gains. Unless it's an election year. Ahem.
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Old 10-29-2016, 3:27pm   #27
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2142 was support and did not hold, as the S&P closed at 2126.
It's just a waiting game now.
Who will win the election????
Interestingly, the S&P traded around 2140 until about 12:30 on Fiday.
What happened then? The FBI reopened the Hillary can of worms and down it went.
Boy old Hildabeast does have pull with the money men.
She actually nauseates me.
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Old 11-03-2016, 4:28pm   #28
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Whelp.... There is a 5% drop from the top as of 4pm today.
2142 fell
2100 fell
I'm hoping for 2000 to start feathering in again.

Is it the election or is it gonna be real???

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Old 11-03-2016, 4:36pm   #29
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we too are waiting for the election to settle before putting some cash back to work. sold a few winners about a month ago. had a bond redeem a few days ago too. nice surprise. cash in hand is a good feeling.
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Old 11-03-2016, 6:19pm   #30
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Is it the election or is it gonna be real???

Question of the damn decade right there.
I'm sitting mostly cash but have a few that are either long or should be affected little by the election.
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Old 11-03-2016, 6:22pm   #31
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well, if the market tanks, i'll just go out and give 20 minute speeches and collect $250,000 a pop. that should be enough to buy bread for the day.....
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Old 11-03-2016, 9:48pm   #32
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Nice little wedge forming there. Gonna break up or down out of it. Which way does it break?
Guess we know the answer to that question.

Here's a shorter term chart. It'll self-update. Notice I'm using the S&P 500- for all practical purposes, that index is the market.

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Old 11-04-2016, 6:39am   #33
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Yessss !!! I was right !!

Whaddya say ? 1950ish??
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Old 11-05-2016, 7:31pm   #34
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Yessss !!! I was right !!

Whaddya say ? 1950ish??
Slap a straight-edge across the bottoms of those candlesticks ('14, and the two from late '15). I'm seeing about 1800ish. Note that was a key level of resistance on the way up in '14. Using the same straight-edge, 2000 seems to be significant.

*I have no clue why this works, but the more points a line can hit, the more valid the line becomes. Probably because others are looking at the same lines.

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Old 11-08-2016, 9:59pm   #35
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Slap a straight-edge across the bottoms of those candlesticks ('14, and the two from late '15). I'm seeing about 1800ish. Note that was a key level of resistance on the way up in '14. Using the same straight-edge, 2000 seems to be significant.

*I have no clue why this works, but the more points a line can hit, the more valid the line becomes. Probably because others are looking at the same lines.

DOW futures down 459 points as I type this.
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Old 11-08-2016, 10:02pm   #36
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Go Donald !!!
Get ready for the fire sale kids!!
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Old 11-08-2016, 10:04pm   #37
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DOW futures down 459 points as I type this.
Reaction to a possible Trump victory I'm guessing.

...there's your sign folks.
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Old 11-08-2016, 10:10pm   #38
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Reaction to a possible Trump victory I'm guessing.

...there's your sign folks.
Clearly
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Old 11-08-2016, 10:41pm   #39
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Fox reporting Dow futures down 700.
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Old 11-08-2016, 11:06pm   #40
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Fox reporting Dow futures down 700.
This will circle the globe. It's going to get bad...

...oh well, I always figured I'd retire when I died at my desk.
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