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02-02-2012, 12:03pm | #1 | ||||||
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Swing States
Per O'Reilly's Talking Points spiel on 2/1/2012.
These states will carry the Republican candidate AK 3 ID 4 MT 3 WY 3 UT 6 AZ 11 ND 3 SD 3 NE 5 KS 6 OK 7 TX 38 LA 8 MS 6 AR 6 MO 10 AL 9 GA 16 SC 9 TN 11 KY 8 IN 11 WV 5 ... Total 191 electoral votes Republican candidate These states will carry the Democratic candidate HI 4 WA 12 OR 7 CA 55 MN 10 IL 20 ME 4 VT 3 NY 29 NJ 14 MD 10 DE 3 CT 7 RI 4 MA 11 DC 3 ... Total 196 electoral votes for Obama "Twelve Swing States" NV 6 CO 9 NM 5 FL 29 IA 6 WI 10 MI 16 OH 18 NH 4 PA 20 VA 13 NC 15 ... Total 151 electoral votes up for grabs Totals: Republican: 191 (needs 79 to get 270 electoral votes to win Presidential Election) Democrat: 196 (needs 74 to get 270 electoral votes to win Presidential Election) Swing: 151 Interestingly, according to Gallup, in all twelve swing states, Obama currently does NOT have an approval rating above 50%. I live in a swing state (FL). I'll be putting up signs in my yard (I live on a major U.S. Highway). I'll also be campaigning for whomever the Republican nominee winds up being. LET'S DO THIS!!! Bill O'Reilly: Talking Points Memo - Bill O'Reilly: President Obama and your approval |
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02-02-2012, 12:05pm | #2 | ||||||
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02-02-2012, 12:05pm | #3 | ||||||
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You really think putting a sign in your yard makes some kind of difference?
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02-02-2012, 12:10pm | #4 | ||||||
Barn Stall Owner #16A
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02-02-2012, 2:06pm | #5 | ||||||
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Thanks to the 2010 census and the fact that so many American have fled shit-hole blue states so they could actually find work, the electoral math has swung more in our favor.
Mitt Romney won't even have to win as many swing states as Bush did to win the election. If Romney can win the McCain states, and regain the South by taking back states like Virginia, Florida, and North Carolina where Obama BARELY won even in the 2008 national landslide, then in order to win the election Romney only needs to win the following additional swing states that Obama won in 2008: Ohio Indiana New Hampshire Unlike Bush, Romney doesn't need Colorado. He doesn't need Nevada. Romney can LOSE Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, and Iowa combined and still win. Bush couldn't. Important factor to keep in mind. 2012 Electoral math is different than 2000, 2004, and 2008.
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02-02-2012, 2:09pm | #6 | |||||||
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02-02-2012, 5:45pm | #7 | ||||||
Barn Stall Owner #15
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Different combinations of states that can give 270 electoral votes, the number needed to win.
Texas +4 Florida +2 Arizona +1 Georgia +1 Nevada +1 South Carolina +1 Utah +1 Washington +1 Illinois -1 Iowa -1 Louisiana -1 Massachusetts -1 Michigan -1 Missouri -1 New Jersey -1 Pennsylvania -1 New York -2 Ohio -2 So, in total the net electoral vote change from 2008 to 2012 is as follows: Solid Red States +6 Swing States +/-0 Solid Blue States -6
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02-02-2012, 10:31pm | #8 | |||||||
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02-03-2012, 2:02pm | #9 | ||||||
Barn Stall Owner #15
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BTW, I define "Solid Red" states as states that voted for Bush and McCain in 2000, 2004, and 2008.
"Solid Blue" states went for Gore, Kerry, and Obama in 2000, 2004, and 2008. Swing states went both ways in that time period.
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02-03-2012, 5:10pm | #10 | |||||||
Barn Stall Owner #16A
Barn Stall Owner #16B NCM Supporter '11,'13 Bantayan Kids '13
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