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04-06-2020, 6:00pm | #401 | ||||||
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CBS News Posts Fraudulent Viral Video of Sobbing ICU Nurse Who Quit Her Job Over Poor Working Conditions, Mask Shortage — It Was All a Lie https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/202...mask-shortage/ |
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04-06-2020, 6:05pm | #402 | |||||||
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04-06-2020, 6:05pm | #403 | |||||||
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04-06-2020, 6:38pm | #404 | |||||||
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04-06-2020, 7:09pm | #405 | ||||||||||
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Cliffs: there is actually good news in the Coronavirus numbers that the news will never tell you. If you don’t have the interest level to follow the actual numbers, there are some summaries below.
So, “Doug Junior” aka “Murray Anderson” is accusing me of some stuff, but what is really wrong with his accusations is that he obviously doesn’t know what “growing exponentially” means. A simplified definition is as follows: A percentage growth rate that remains constant each period. OK, I’ll admit, that isn’t a perfect definition, but it is good enough for our purposes here. Anyway, on 3/30/2020, I posted the following: Quote:
On 4/3/2020, I posted the following: Quote:
Junior then introduces an article that he thinks “proves” me wrong, as follows: Quote:
The article on which Junior wants to rest his hat was published on 3/27/2020, and talking about the fact that total US cases reported doubled from 50,000 to 100,000 from 3/24/2020 to 3/27/2020. However, when I made my first post on the topic on 3.30/2020, additional data on the growth of US cases already falling from the mid 20s to the mid teens as growth rates. In fact, I even said that the growth rates for a time “looked exponential” in this post of 4/3/2020 trying to be fair: Quote:
3/30: 14.1% 3/31: 15.1% 4/1: 14.0% 4/2: 13.9% Still declining a little, but we did reach 200K cases on 4/1, 5 days after reaching 100K cases. Let’s look at the subsequent data to see if we have an exponential growth, doubling every 5 days? 4/3: 13.2% 4/4: 12.3% 4/5: 8.1% 4/6: 8.7 % So, growth rates are still declining, and we failed to double cases in 5 days. In fact, we would need a pretty good jump tomorrow in new cases to have a doubling in 6 days, it looks like this doubling requiring 7 days is a lot more likely. Sorry Junior, you’re not just wrong, you're dead ****ing wrong. |
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04-06-2020, 7:51pm | #406 | ||||||||
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04-06-2020, 8:15pm | #407 | ||||||
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If it’s exponential right now, what is the exponent for new cases? Hint: it’s not above 1.
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04-06-2020, 8:15pm | #408 | |||||||
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I don't know if this dude is sane or just bat-shit crazy...... |
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04-06-2020, 8:43pm | #409 | ||||||||
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Also this: Quote:
So, do you think the rate of increase in US Coronavirus infections is exponential? |
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04-06-2020, 8:51pm | #410 | |||||||||
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Hint: What happens in the first definition as the duration of a period approaches limit zero? |
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04-06-2020, 9:01pm | #411 | ||||||
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Cyber, post 373 supports your post too.
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04-06-2020, 9:09pm | #412 | ||||||
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Explaining exponential growth is actually easy, because you see it every single day. Let's say there's one idiot you know. They talk to a person, and now there are two idiots! But the next day there are four idiots. Then eight the next. Then there are seven.
Seven? That's not exponential! Well, you see, they all went out to recruit more idiots, but everyone they met hadn't watched CNN for years. |
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04-06-2020, 9:17pm | #413 | |||||||
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So this is pretty scary:
https://bgr.com/2020/04/05/coronavir...go-undetected/ Quote:
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04-06-2020, 9:23pm | #414 | ||||||
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If by "exactly supports" then I agree, and I had to go back and watch that after reading your post. This doctor is observant. I'm seeing some sort of consensus building in the zeitgeist concerning the nature of this disease. It's oxygen deprivation that is the key to unlocking the course of treatment.
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04-06-2020, 9:25pm | #415 | |||||||
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04-06-2020, 9:38pm | #416 | |||||||
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04-07-2020, 5:47am | #417 | ||||||
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They're pushing hard already for keeping lock downs until June or later even with reports that NC is way below all estimates of sickness and deaths(like several hundred percent less).
I'm not saying everything needs to open back up 100% but they need to relax some shutdowns with restrictions in place, ease the burden on the economy some with minimal risk. |
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04-07-2020, 7:39am | #418 | ||||||
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Scroll down and look at some of the graphs and comments.
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04-07-2020, 7:55am | #419 | ||||||
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Oh, looky here. Seems the Chinese have figured out the COVID-19 hemoglobin attack vector.
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04-07-2020, 8:03am | #420 | ||||||
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Obama admin approved emergency use of the unapproved drug Peramivir for use against the swine flu outbreak in 2009. Remember all those Republican governors banning it? Remember the media freaking out? Remember that couple in Alabama who swilled some rat poison claiming that they thought it was Peramivir? Neither do I.
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