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10-21-2012, 8:19am | #1 | |||||||
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Meet the Newest Battleground State: Minnesota
Meet the Newest Battleground State: Minnesota
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10-21-2012, 11:04am | #2 | ||||||
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It was just a matter of time. What I find interesting is how the University of Colorado Prediction model has not changed since day one, even after this past week's trends were entered. It has showed Romney with 322 - 327 electoral votes since Romney locked up the nomination. ALL the polls are starting to move towards this prediction.
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10-21-2012, 11:53am | #3 | |||||||
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10-21-2012, 12:20pm | #4 | ||||||
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Sorry, the guys on the C4 Gen forum always change their avatars to something associated with Halloween, something scary or disgusting and that was the scariest and most disgusting avatar I could find. It's an inside joke and will be gone soon enough.
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10-21-2012, 2:43pm | #5 | ||||||
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Here's the University of Colorado prediction, 320 electoral college votes for Romney, updated approx weekly and almost unchanged since Romney got the nomination.
Has not been wrong since it was first used in 1980 and always been within 2%. It has predicted the shift we're seeing in the polls. |
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10-21-2012, 3:02pm | #6 | |||||||
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10-21-2012, 3:14pm | #7 | ||||||
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10-21-2012, 3:54pm | #8 | ||||||
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10-21-2012, 4:13pm | #9 | |||||||
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Out of the unlikeliest Romney state wins, I have him closest in Minnesota, then Pennsylvania, the New Hampshire, then Wisconsin, then Michigan. A lot of pundits and pollsters have Michigan as a swing state, but not PA or MN. Yet I have both closer than Michigan, and this model has all 4 non-Michigan going to Romney. I would be VERY interested to see their raw data and if they too have Romney closest in the same order I do.
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10-21-2012, 4:19pm | #10 | |||||||
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I would love to see Obama's internal polls, you know they must predict a bad outcome if his pollsters have pulled out of FLA, NC and VA and I heard today they are preparing to pull out of NH and CO. Also, why else would he change from all negative ads to more Reganesque ads? |
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10-21-2012, 5:20pm | #11 |
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10-21-2012, 7:22pm | #12 | ||||||
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10-22-2012, 7:53am | #13 | ||||||
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