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Old 10-12-2020, 5:08pm   #1
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Default Election Prediction - predict the correct winner and the electoral college total
We have 22 days to go, so let's try this again.

all you experts or wannabe experts, time to put your name and numbers down.

thread from last time:

https://www.thevettebarn.com/forums/...=2016+election

Entry is easy:

Name the winner
put down the total number of electoral votes the winner ends up with

I'll begin, cribbing off Rush's program today (since i'm not an expert)

Trump
330 votes.
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Old 10-12-2020, 5:36pm   #2
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Trump 357
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Old 10-12-2020, 6:06pm   #3
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Old 10-12-2020, 6:21pm   #4
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Trump
327 <----- WAG
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Old 10-12-2020, 6:25pm   #5
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Trump 357
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I hope for our sake.

Still a little early but...

Biden- 273

Trump - 265
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Old 10-12-2020, 6:36pm   #6
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I hope for our sake.

Still a little early but...

Biden- 273

Trump - 265
Not completely crazy... but here's a decent & realistic scenario of Trump winning by 6 EVs.

Trump voters are less likely to take polls...

Still... a huge long-shot.
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Old 10-12-2020, 6:48pm   #7
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Biden- 273

Trump - 265 I didn't get the name Mush for nothing






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Old 10-12-2020, 7:24pm   #8
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Given the way 2020 is going, 269 tie.
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Old 10-12-2020, 7:51pm   #9
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Trump 365 Biden 1.

I’m serious. It’s going to be along those lines.
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Old 10-12-2020, 8:15pm   #10
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Trump = 320
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Old 10-12-2020, 8:18pm   #11
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Old 10-12-2020, 8:26pm   #12
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Trump 365 Biden 1.

I’m serious. It’s going to be along those lines.
Hawaii and Cali will go Biden. We need to sell the Hawaiian Islands to the Japanese. Serious.
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Old 10-13-2020, 12:54am   #13
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Trump 365 Biden 1.

I’m serious. It’s going to be along those lines.
That doesn't add up to 538.

Or are you saying that 172 faithless electors will cast their ballots for someone other than those two?
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Old 10-13-2020, 6:20am   #14
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That doesn't add up to 538.

Or are you saying that 172 faithless electors will cast their ballots for someone other than those two?
I'm saying that a bunch of states will not announce the results of the election by Dec. 14th so their electoral votes won't be counted and they'll try to use that as a way to overturn the election while screaming reeeeeeeeeeeee even harder than they have been for the last four years.
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Old 10-13-2020, 10:36am   #15
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i know you are men of honor, but nonetheless, i'm also writing down everyone's name, winner, and winner's total, so you cannot go back and change it after the fact.
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Old 10-13-2020, 1:37pm   #16
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Night before election 2016.

Attached Thumbnails
2016a.PNG  
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Old 10-13-2020, 2:50pm   #17
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don't count your chickens before they hatch.
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Old 10-13-2020, 2:52pm   #18
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Night before election 2016.
for the math challenged, or lazy, if all those had held, it would have been Clinton 273, Trump 265.
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Old 10-13-2020, 3:03pm   #19
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I just hope Trump can get the 270 needed. I do not give a chit about a land slide, but the way this year has been. I just have a bad feeling about the Dems fuggin stealing this thing some how.
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Old 10-13-2020, 3:17pm   #20
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TRUMP 2020
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