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Old 03-21-2020, 2:41pm   #17
Mike Mercury
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CV official stats as of Friday:

total confirmed cases worldwide: 298,393
total confirmed deaths worldwide: 12,755

4.5% death rate. Typical flu season in the US causes a death rate of about 1.5%

the 4.5% rate will lower over time. The infection-to-death ratio should not be overly relied on in the early stages like this; it can be very mis-leading.

FYI:

Test kit availability always lags an outbreak. Because of this... testing is only done (this early on) to those showing serious symptoms. Due to this typical lack of test kit availability, the infection-to-death ratio is skewed... always... at the beginning. All outbreaks like this start out with a prelim higher ratio. Once tests are plentiful, then more will be tested... offered to those barely showing any symptoms (those less likely to die from it or even get seriously ill from it).

The typical 1.5% statistic is compiled after the entire event is over, after test kits became plentiful and massive testing has been eventually carried out.

CV is one of the worse ones to hit us in awhile; but I just read an email from someone claiming the CV death rate is "20 times worse" that a typical flu outbreak
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