Election Prediction - predict the correct winner and the electoral college total
 

We have 22 days to go, so let's try this again.

all you experts or wannabe experts, time to put your name and numbers down.

thread from last time:

https://www.thevettebarn.com/forums/...=2016+election

Entry is easy:

Name the winner
put down the total number of electoral votes the winner ends up with

I'll begin, cribbing off Rush's program today (since i'm not an expert)

Trump
330 votes.

:DAB:

Trump 357

Trump
327 <----- WAG

I hope for our sake. :USA::USA:

Still a little early but...

Biden- 273

Trump - 265

Not completely crazy... but here's a decent & realistic scenario of Trump winning by 6 EVs.

Trump voters are less likely to take polls...

Still... a huge long-shot.

https://hosting.photobucket.com/imag...080&fit=bounds

:yesnod:

Given the way 2020 is going, 269 tie.

Trump 365 Biden 1.

I’m serious. It’s going to be along those lines.

Trump = 320

Hawaii and Cali will go Biden. We need to sell the Hawaiian Islands to the Japanese. Serious.

That doesn't add up to 538.

Or are you saying that 172 faithless electors will cast their ballots for someone other than those two?

I'm saying that a bunch of states will not announce the results of the election by Dec. 14th so their electoral votes won't be counted and they'll try to use that as a way to overturn the election while screaming reeeeeeeeeeeee even harder than they have been for the last four years.

i know you are men of honor, but nonetheless, i'm also writing down everyone's name, winner, and winner's total, so you cannot go back and change it after the fact. :msgem: :DAB:

Night before election 2016.

https://hosting.photobucket.com/imag...080&fit=bounds

don't count your chickens before they hatch.

for the math challenged, or lazy, if all those had held, it would have been Clinton 273, Trump 265. :slap:

I just hope Trump can get the 270 needed. I do not give a chit about a land slide, but the way this year has been. I just have a bad feeling about the Dems fuggin stealing this thing some how.:sadangel:

there is a max of 538 electoral votes:slap:

Trump 332

:rofl::rofl::rofl::rofl::rofl:

Trump exceeded their "Best Trump" call by 2 evs :yesnod:

https://hosting.photobucket.com/imag...080&fit=bounds

Opposite of whatever Raazor says.

so put you down for Trump, 273?

Maximum rage.

https://i.imgur.com/FmiKmQI.png


Biden retakes PA, MI, and WI. But Minnesota flies under their radar, and the Iron Range up north swings MN to Trump for 269 EVs. Trump loses popular vote again, but ties in the Electoral College.

Democrats go ape-shit for 2 straight months, Democrat cities burn, and Democrat media talking heads drive themselves crazy with scenarios where the house miraculously saves them. But it's all futile, because the states with a majority of GOP reps give their states' votes to Trump in the end.

https://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/...4f7c8a945bed88

if you win, we won't know it until early January. Trump via house, 269-269. got it.

It's not even going to be close. The internal polling must look absolutely horrifying to the Dems. They will try and cheat though. You can bet on that.

Try? They already are.....right here in Tejas:

https://www.dallasnews.com/news/crim...ud-police-say/

This will be the highest turnout of voters in memory care nursing homes of all time.

Until they throw the book at these fraudsters, we can just expect more of the same. The penalties ie: one helluva long stretch in prison might get their attention. And I don't care which side you are trying to commit fraud for, it should be a minimum of 20 years in the joint.:yesnod:

https://www.yellowbullet.com/cdn-cgi...86-jpg.136311/









https://www.yellowbullet.com/cdn-cgi...99-png.136689/

:funnier::funnier::funnier:

doesn't take into account "faithless" electors who vote whichever way they want.

It won't come to this. Biden is a lead-pipe-cinch to win the election. Bet the farm :yesnod:

Trump has to hold on to everything on the right/red side plus win every single one of these states. Doesn't seem plausible to me :shrug:

https://hosting.photobucket.com/imag...080&fit=bounds

:yesnod:

Missoula probably has more services. He should get on I90 and stick out his thumb.

Better yet he should stfu :yesnod:

Usually the best advice :yesnod:

^^^^^^^ This guy still listens to the polls! :rofl:

:rofl::rofl::rofl:

Biden 374

:yesnod:

Trump wins with 362.

:yesnod:

I hope I am wrong....but I have a feeling I won't be

:yesnod:

Mush's academy for never getting things right forum--------------------->

so far, I have the following:

Dab T 330
Anjdog2003 T 357
Cptlo306 T 330
JRD77Vet T 327
Raazor B 273
tjfontaine Tie 269 each (no winner selected in house)
Cybercowboy T 365
Wathen1955 T 320
04commerative T 332
The Dude T 273
Will Tie 269 each, Trump wins in House
DixieVet B 374
bill daniels T 362

:DAB:

Douglas. I said the minimum 270 needed for Trump. I hope it is more. I too have a very bad feeling about this one.:cert:

pick a number and stfu, Forehead :cuss:


:hide: j/k :D :gropehog:

:yesnod:

Trump 276

I'll take Trump 301.

From what I see online, I am totally thinking that FLA will go Trump. I have a feeling that PA will too. I also think we will have a few surprises. :yesnod:

Trump with 318 :yesnod:

current list:

Dab T 330
Anjdog2003 T 357
Cptlo306 T 330
JRD77Vet T 327
Raazor B 273
tjfontaine Tie 269 each (no winner selected in house)
Cybercowboy T 365
Wathen1955 T 320
04commerative T 332
The Dude T 273
Will Tie 269 each, Trump wins in House
DixieVet B 374
bill daniels T 362
dwjz06 T 270
aerovette T 276
Mick T 301

if you want to change your mind, please don't just edit your original post, I won't go back to check it, just post again with your revised answer, i'll catch that as I go thru the thread. :DAB:

tahnks

B 361

we better hope! No FL, no chance :yesnod:

stikki... my brother lives in FL also near Tampa. He says he sees Trump hats everywhere but never a biden hat, sign, bumper sticker, nuttin'.

I'm hoping Trump voters as a general rule avoid taking polls like my family.

If not, #46 = Biden and shortly after, Harris :cuss:

current list:

Dab T 330
Anjdog2003 T 357
Cptlo306 T 330
JRD77Vet T 327
Raazor B 273
tjfontaine Tie 269 each (no winner selected in house)
Cybercowboy T 365
Wathen1955 T 320
04commerative T 332
The Dude T 273
Will Tie 269 each, Trump wins in House
DixieVet B 374
bill daniels T 362
dwjz06 T 270
aerovette T 276
Mick T 301
Rikki Z-06 T 318
Jeff '79 B 361

:ohnoes:

That will be the death of America. :sadangel:

Maybe finish in numerical order so looking them over is easier :island14:

probably not but it will certainly suck :yesnod: :cuss:

We're asking for electoral votes, not the number of grams of crack Hunter smokes in a week.

this is the order they were posted. if a tie, earliest one gets the prize. if no one gets it exactly, closest one wins (over or under).

win what you ask? oh, exciting bragging rights for 4 years. and maybe a cool label on your avatar (see Cyber's).

IIRC I called the number of electoral votes exactly and then two or three unfaithful electors reeeeeeeeeee'd and changed their votes to Clinton in a fit of pointless reeeeeee-age.

meh. We lived through Carter, Clinton and Obama. I'm sure we could live through Biden.

Repubs have sucked in FLA recently because the Latino vote has been largely against them. The Latinos for Trump events have been YUUUUGE lately. I'm thinking the shift of Latinos away from the Dems to Trump MAY BE enough to secure FLA again. I'm not sure, but I am optimistic.

PA's recovering economy over the last 6-8 years has been HEAVILY based on fracking. Trump won by a slim margin in 2016, but both Harris and Biden going on record again and again saying they will ban fracking (although they have reversed course lately), might be enough to sustain another slim victory for Trump.

GA, where he is tonight, has a significant Black component, and Trump's popularity has been steadily rising among Black voters, for good reason IMO. I think he has a chance in GA. I'm not going to go on record saying he will win it, but I think he has a very real chance to carry GA.

we're (I) am not going to wait until late december to declare a winner, i'll go with the declared winner and vote total announced election night or the next day or so, depending how long some states take to count all these mail in and absentee votes. in NM, they have to stop counting at 1130pm on election night, and can resume the next morning. i don't think too many states are set up to handle the volume of ballots that are not cast on election day.

Da fuq?:D:lol::kimblair:

It would suck for sure.:sadangel:

:iagree:

Major suckage though.:sadangel:

12 out of 16 years down the rabbit hole. No, we wouldn’t.

http://forgifs.com/gallery/d/186750-2/wtf_Im_out.gif?

Hol' up. i thought we were going by 'The Price is Right' rules.....closest without going over the correct number.

I strongly suspect that things will be such a mess and so up in the air after the 3rd that a clear winner might not be evident until all the legal challenges are cleared which might take forever.
However.... I'm in for Trump at 271 at final tally.

:rofl::rofl::rofl:
You're funny.
Totally classless, but funny, none the less.
Any substance abusers in your family?
Ya, I didn't think so.:spdchk:

Thicker skin support group is that way ---------------------------》

My game, my rules. :smash:

:rofl::rofl::rofl::rofl::rofl:

:seasix:

Boys....can we please play nice and be civil?

I rarely hear the phrase “respectfully disagree”.

Attachment 48163

:rofl:

:funnier::funnier:

That's because we all live in a world where "my opinion is more important than yours".

:withstupid:

I respectfully disagree...:lol: Just thinking outside the box, but the first matching number could be posted above the second...just sayin':D

Absolutely. Everyone feels that way.

How about stfu DAB :Entropy:

speak for yourself :yesnod:

about what i expected..... :type:

i'm watching you!!! :dance:

:ohnoes:

fine, 10 points to Slitheren.....

Actually there isn't.

Certainly not crack, meth, or other hard stuff. Alcohol, perhaps, but even then barely a thing compared to DC.

Do you seriously know people who are all tore up with these sorts of drugs where you'd just assume that's normal for most of us?

:seasix:

I didn't think so. :cert:

The only thing that matters is Trump 270.

If not then that the Senate stays at least 53 towards the R.

But SCOTUS is even more important though and the left knows it.:yesnod:


**** Hunter Biden and his crack addiction by the way. He is a spoiled little shit who never lived up to anyone's expectation because of choices by him.

So yes.... Sorry to hear that.
Alcohol abuse tears more families apart than any other substance. It kills more too. To prioritize substances really shows your ignorance toward the subject, and your lack of empathy for people who suffer from substance abuse is very telling about your personality, and explains why you love Dump. Yep, bad choices by both parties....:cert:

The cult loves this bufoon.
So presidential.... :spdchk:

:yesnod: