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PortDawg
09-09-2018, 10:33am
Anyone else concerned? Sucks being here and only be able to watch. Worried about the wife riding the storm out on her own.

04 commemorative
09-09-2018, 10:38am
We are worried here and for everyone down the east coast

Jeff '79
09-09-2018, 11:25am
Looks like Pennsylvania has been getting rained on hard for more than 24 hours now....
So far it is staying below the NYS line...

Buffalo Is playing Baltimore in their house so I guess I'll get a first hand look at the rain rate.

Sea Six
09-09-2018, 11:32am
I'm watching it and two others.

ZipZap
09-09-2018, 11:51am
I was in NoVA for Isabel. This one looks very similar at this point, albeit weaker. As long as she is not sitting in a flat/low point, she shouldn't have a water problem. Wind (trees) and power are the other two concerns. I had my generator up and running for a day or so. Isabel blew through in a big hurry, which helped.

Best of luck to my southeastern friends:seasix:


I just saw your home is in Gloucester. Can she get further inland somewhere?

PortDawg
09-09-2018, 12:04pm
I was in NoVA for Isabel. This one looks very similar at this point, albeit weaker. As long as she is not sitting in a flat/low point, she shouldn't have a water problem. Wind (trees) and power are the other two concerns. I had my generator up and running for a day or so. Isabel blew through in a big hurry, which helped.

Best of luck to my southeastern friends:seasix:


I just saw your home is in Gloucester. Can she get further inland somewhere?

Problem is the livestock....I'll talk to her in about 5/6 hours and see what her plan is.

JRD77VET
09-09-2018, 8:54pm
Problem is the livestock....I'll talk to her in about 5/6 hours and see what her plan is.

You work out a plan?

VITE1
09-10-2018, 6:06am
We were planning on driving North this Friday to NH. We planned on spending Friday night in NC. I doubt we will be doing it. From the latest report the storm will sit over the area 2-3 days and drop massive amount of rain.

Black94lt1
09-10-2018, 6:31am
Hoping for the best for all of you in the path

Jeff '79
09-10-2018, 6:34am
What day & time is she expected to make land fall ?

Sea Six
09-10-2018, 6:39am
What day & time is she expected to make land fall ?

Around 2am Friday.

mrvette
09-10-2018, 6:57am
Around 2am Friday.

When a time is said like that, you mean the early contact of severe outer winds, or the heart of the storm??....I ASSume it's a NWS time quote....

:cert:

VatorMan
09-10-2018, 7:10am
Discussing with my daughter in Charlotte NC what to prepare.

Sea Six
09-10-2018, 9:35am
When a time is said like that, you mean the early contact of severe outer winds, or the heart of the storm??....I ASSume it's a NWS time quote....

:cert:

Storm center.



https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL062018_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/090119_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

mrvette
09-10-2018, 9:56am
Storm center.



https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL062018_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/090119_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

Fair chance of NE Florida seeing some action....SHIT!!!!! :issues:

erickpl
09-10-2018, 10:15am
Surprised we haven't have the memes about 'Aunt Flo' coming for her monthly visit.

04 commemorative
09-10-2018, 10:20am
Discussing with my daughter in Charlotte NC what to prepare.

She should prepare to leave ! She is welcome to come here if she wishes :seasix:

mrvette
09-10-2018, 10:25am
Wonder if that chick advertising for Progressive Ins. will be able to pay off for all the damage her storm caused......

Go with the Flo,.....I guess.....

:dance:

PortDawg
09-10-2018, 12:14pm
You work out a plan?

I think she has...she's still on the fence about if she'd evacuate. We are on relatively high ground. Apparently when the house was built in 1787, they knew where to build.

StaticCling
09-10-2018, 2:43pm
Family in Charlotte, NC and Williamsburg/Newport News, VA area(s). We own a rental property in Jacksonville, NC. We are definitely concerned. Stay safe everybody.

Sea Six
09-10-2018, 4:33pm
They've just bumped the max winds up to 155 mph, making it into the Category 5 range (catastrophic damage), just before landfall. It is also predicted to drop back down again slightly just before landfall, but still... it's just about as big as an Atlantic peak-season hurricane gets.

Scott, it looks like it's headed straight to your family in NC and your rental property. I'd recommend your family make plans to evacuate in the very near future.

As a survivor of Hurricane Ivan in 2004, I lost my home and nearly everything I owned.

This one is even bigger.

Sea Six
09-10-2018, 4:35pm
366
WTNT41 KNHC 102055
TCDAT1

Hurricane Florence Discussion Number 46
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
500 PM AST Mon Sep 10 2018

Unfortunately, the models were right. Florence has rapidly
intensified into an extremely dangerous hurricane, with 30-second
GOES-16 visible imagery showing well-defined eyewall mesovortices
rotating inside of the eye. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft found
peak SFMR winds of about 120 kt, with flight-level winds and
dropsonde measurements also supporting that value for the initial
wind speed estimate. Notably, the aircraft data also show the size
of the hurricane-force winds has doubled in the past 12 hours.

None of the guidance suggest that Florence has peaked in intensity,
and this is supported by a continuation of a low-shear environment,
and even warmer waters over the next 36 hours. Thus, the intensity
forecast is raised from the previous one, bringing Florence close
to category 5 strength tomorrow. Near landfall, the vertical wind
shear could increase, along with the increasing likelihood of
eyewall cycles. While the intensity forecast shows some weakening
of the maximum winds near landfall, the wind field is expected to
grow with time, which increases the storm surge and inland wind
threats. The bottom line is that there is high confidence that
Florence will be a large and extremely dangerous hurricane,
regardless of its exact intensity.

Florence has recently turned west-northwestward, still moving at 11
kt. The hurricane is expected to accelerate in that direction over
the next day or two due to building mid-level ridge over the
northwestern Atlantic Ocean. By late Wednesday, a turn toward the
northwest is forecast due to the orientation of the Atlantic ridge,
along with a decrease in forward speed due to a new ridge building
over the Great Lakes. There is a new player in the forecast as
well, with the disturbance over the northwestern Caribbean adding
some uncertainty in the ridge strength over the southeastern United
States. Perhaps it isn't surprising that the model spread has
increased on this cycle, with a small eastward shift overall. The
official forecast is nudged in the direction of the trend, but is
west of the model consensus. It is important not to focus on the
exact forecast track as average NHC errors at days 4 and 5 are about
140 and 180 n mi, respectively, and dangerous hazards will extend
well away from the center.

The NOAA G-IV jet will continue to conduct synoptic surveillance
missions every 12 h through at least Wednesday. In addition, special
0600 UTC and 1800 UTC radiosonde launches have been expanded to
additional upper-air stations across the U.S. are to collect extra
data for the numerical models.

Key Messages:

1. A life-threatening storm surge is likely along portions of the
coastlines of South Carolina, North Carolina, and Virginia, and
a Storm Surge Watch will likely be issued for some of these areas by
Tuesday morning. All interests from South Carolina into the mid-
Atlantic region should ensure they have their hurricane plan in
place and follow any advice given by local officials.

2. Life-threatening freshwater flooding is likely from a prolonged
and exceptionally heavy rainfall event, which may extend inland over
the Carolinas and Mid Atlantic for hundreds of miles as Florence is
expected to slow down as it approaches the coast and moves inland.

3. Damaging hurricane-force winds are likely along portions of the
coasts of South Carolina and North Carolina, and a Hurricane Watch
will likely be issued by Tuesday morning. Damaging winds could also
spread well inland into portions of the Carolinas and Virginia.

4. Large swells affecting Bermuda and portions of the U.S. East
Coast will continue this week, resulting in life-threatening surf
and rip currents.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 10/2100Z 25.4N 61.1W 120 KT 140 MPH
12H 11/0600Z 26.0N 63.2W 130 KT 150 MPH
24H 11/1800Z 27.0N 66.2W 135 KT 155 MPH
36H 12/0600Z 28.6N 69.3W 135 KT 155 MPH
48H 12/1800Z 30.4N 72.2W 130 KT 150 MPH
72H 13/1800Z 33.7N 77.0W 120 KT 140 MPH
96H 14/1800Z 35.6N 78.8W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
120H 15/1800Z 36.5N 79.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND

$$
Forecaster Blake

:sadangel:

Sea Six
09-10-2018, 4:42pm
https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/taw/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg


https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/GIFS/GOES16-TAW-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

99 pewtercoupe
09-10-2018, 5:26pm
My wife just contacted her niece to see if she wanted to evacuate to our place. Niece, husband and daughter just built a house on a waterfront in Charleston SC. Niece says they are staying put. They think it’s going to hit far enough north they are going to be OK. :sadangel:

MrPeabody
09-10-2018, 6:16pm
https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/taw/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg


https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/GIFS/GOES16-TAW-GEOCOLOR-900x540.gif

Damn, hurricanes lined up like the Rockettes. Hope they don't all make it to shore.

allthrottleandsomebottle
09-10-2018, 8:15pm
Pacific had theirs…………...knew it was our turn soon:sadangel:
To early to tell where but the high pressures are driving it

ZipZap
09-10-2018, 9:32pm
I think she has...she's still on the fence about if she'd evacuate. We are on relatively high ground. Apparently when the house was built in 1787, they knew where to build.

Parts of Gloucester under evacuation now...

mrvette
09-11-2018, 2:22am
My wife just contacted her niece to see if she wanted to evacuate to our place. Niece, husband and daughter just built a house on a waterfront in Charleston SC. Niece says they are staying put. They think it’s going to hit far enough north they are going to be OK. :sadangel:

They need GTFO SOON!!!!!! :sadangel: :issues:

Broken Wind
09-11-2018, 5:20am
My wife just contacted her niece to see if she wanted to evacuate to our place. Niece, husband and daughter just built a house on a waterfront in Charleston SC. Niece says they are staying put. They think it’s going to hit far enough north they are going to be OK. :sadangel:

I lived on the Carolina coast for nearly two decades. That is not a rational thought at this point. There’s no way to know exactly where it will go until it goes there.

PortDawg
09-11-2018, 7:18am
Parts of Gloucester under evacuation now...

We're Zone D so....

86RAG
09-11-2018, 8:13am
My daughter lives in Durham NC. I am very worried for her. We have been talking about how to handle this, but I can't be there for her, and that bothers me :sadangel:

erickpl
09-11-2018, 8:15am
My coworker's daughter lives in Wilmington. They're headed there now to get them out. They have a baby and several pets that need to be gotten out of harms way. :(

86RAG
09-11-2018, 8:19am
I asked her about the possibility of an evacuation order in here area, but haven't heard back yet. This sucks :sadangel:

VITE1
09-11-2018, 8:25am
I asked her about the possibility of an evacuation order in here area, but haven't heard back yet. This sucks :sadangel:

I think that far inland she should be OK so long as she is nowhere near a flood zone. Tell her to have enough food and water for at least two weeks, Get 3-4 20# propane tanks to use to cook with and make sure her home is secure.

VatorMan
09-11-2018, 8:26am
My daughter lives in Durham NC. I am very worried for her. We have been talking about how to handle this, but I can't be there for her, and that bothers me :sadangel:

Same here with my daughter in Charlotte. :sadangel: I can only offer advice.

86RAG
09-11-2018, 8:26am
Projected maximum sustained winds for her area are 28MPH. I think it's going to be the rainfall amounts that are the biggest concern there.

86RAG
09-11-2018, 8:30am
I think that far inland she should be OK so long as she is nowhere near a flood zone. Tell her to have enough food and water for at least two weeks, Get 3-4 20# propane tanks to use to cook with and make sure her home is secure.

She lives in an apartment complex that is on a bit of a hill, so she should be ok for flooding, but she could be stuck there with the possibility of losing power. No way to cook with propane, but she has been stocking up on supplies per mom and dads orders! I'll be biting my nails

VITE1
09-11-2018, 8:34am
She lives in an apartment complex that is on a bit of a hill, so she should be ok for flooding, but she could be stuck there with the possibility of losing power. No way to cook with propane, but she has been stocking up on supplies per mom and dads orders! I'll be biting my nails

Does she have a balcony or patio? After Gloria hit me in NY we cooked on the Balcony on a propane grill and then had the propane lanterns for light. We were stuck in the apartment complex for three days due to trees being down and flooding.

86RAG
09-11-2018, 8:40am
Does she have a balcony or patio? After Gloria hit me in NY we cooked on the Balcony on a propane grill and then had the propane lanterns for light. We were stuck in the apartment complex for three days due to trees being down and flooding.

She is now telling me there is no evac orders yet, and she may be staying at here friends place to ride it out. I told her I wasn't happy about her choice because she could get stuck there and all her stuff will be in her apartment. She hadn't thought of that! No balcony at her place either

VatorMan
09-11-2018, 8:52am
When Irene hit us a few years ago, we were able to retreat to our 5th wheel RV. These are the days I wish I had it back.
At my house I have my generator, gas grill, and portable air conditioner.

Bill
09-11-2018, 9:15am
I've been through several storms, most notably, Ike, which took off shingles and roof jacks, causing my house to take in water. Thankfully, I've never flooded, although Harvey kept my street underwater for 4 days.

Ike kept us in the dark for 15 days, but we never lost natural gas, water, or phone service. Our sewer plant went under, yet somehow, the sewer worked. Same with Harvey. I have no idea how our toilets flushed.....but they did.

After a stock of food and medicine, and maybe filling a bathtub with water if you are concerned about potable water, the most basic emergency item I can recommend is a working generator and plenty of Jerry cans full of fresh gas. That not only gives you lights, fans and power tools to effect repairs, if necessary, but gives you a chance to save the food in your fridge (and make ice), use a radio or TV, and the simple comforts like making a pot of coffee in the morning.

Good luck and be safe, East coast folks.


For anyone riding a storm out, I'd recommend having blue tarps and some 1x's, in case you need to secure your roof after the storm comes through.

~~c~~

GRN ENVY
09-11-2018, 9:21am
1 year ago today we were waking up the day after Irma. I was in a mandatory evacuation zone due to proximity to the ocean. Flooding did leave people stranded in my area. The storm caused damage, but our biggest issue was the amount of water. A week prior we were flooded from a tropical wave/ disturbance (spin off from harbey) and that filled all our water drainage ways. Along came Irma and the water had no where to go but up.

The biggest issue was maintaining gas/ supplies. People were in a frenzy to horde as much as they could for the storm. I have insurance and documentation of what I own. The damage will be there when you get back, if you get damage. Both the houses I was moving out of and into during the storm sustained damage (my lease was ending as Irma hit). Minor damage, some shingles, soffits. My old rental house had a tree branch in the screen lanai. Nothing that couldnt be fixed in a good days work.

Moving forward I will evacuate if I'm going to be within 50-60 miles of the eye. Especially if it starts to hit the high end of cat 2 or starting cat 3. It was just easier to button up the house and drive north. I went to a friends house north and inland. Never lost power and many of the stores/ restaurants didnt either. I essentially had to wait for all the water to drain to get back to my house anyways, took 3 days. I'd rather not be stranded at my house with supplies running down and no way to escape. Having the flexibility to get around and stay in areas with power made life much easier.

Sorry for the long post.

Cliffs, it ain't worth getting stuck in your house/ or flood. Board/ lock up your house. Pack a bin of the important stuff and head inland. Relax in a friends place or hotel away from the eye.

04 commemorative
09-11-2018, 9:38am
Super Storm Sandy destroyed our town.....6 years to get this far and a long way to go....don't tempt fate anyone with these storms.

Will
09-11-2018, 11:20am
We're still getting a forecast of scattered thunderstorms and 10-15mph winds for this weekend. Pretty far inland.

https://www.wunderground.com/hourly/us/sc/barnwell/29812/date/2018-09-16

MrPeabody
09-11-2018, 1:47pm
Everybody stay safe and keep us posted please.

As far as disaster evacuations go, here on the west coast we envy people who evacuate for hurricanes. Earthquakes, no warning at all. Fires, maybe an hour or two warning. Hurricanes, days of warning. Consider yourselves lucky and take advantage of this.:yesnod:

VITE1
09-11-2018, 3:00pm
Running from Jim Cantore - YouTube

ZipZap
09-11-2018, 3:01pm
We're Zone D so....

Hold the high ground!

69camfrk
09-11-2018, 3:02pm
Looks like my old neck of the woods in Va may take a good hit. Heavy rainfall mostly. I only have some property there, so no worries in that regard. Here is an article from the local paper about preparations, and some words of wisdom from when Camille came through in 1969. I barely remember that though.


https://www.southwesttimes.com/2018/09/preps-begin-for-potentially-deadly-event/
By MELINDA WILLIAMS

[email protected]

Hurricane Florence is still days from landfall, but local emergency officials are so concerned about it’s deadly potential inland they’re already preparing for a worst-case scenario.

“This is a potentially deadly event,” Pulaski County Emergency Management Director Josh Tolbert told The Southwest Times Monday afternoon. He and some 40 others attending a called meeting at the Emergency Operations Center (EOC) could not stress enough the importance of citizens preparing now for what could be a very dangerous situation later this week.

Tolbert said the remnants of Florence have the potential to inundate an already saturated ground with so much rain a 100-year flood is possible. While winds might be a problem, the rain potential predicted by some storm tracking models Monday could put Florence in a league with Hurricane Camille in 1969, he said.

Camille is the second-most intense hurricane to ever strike the United States. It made landfall in Mississippi Aug. 18, 1969, as a Category 5 hurricane. Its track took it into Virginia a day later, squeezing out enough moisture along the Appalachian Mountains to cause flooding and landslides that killed 153 people unprepared for such an onslaught. One percent of Nelson County’s population at the time died from blunt-force trauma sustained in landslides.

Camille produced 12 to 27 inches of rain, mostly over a 3-5 hour period in Virginia. Tolbert said at least one model for Florence Monday was forecasting 20 or more inches in Pulaski County. “I can’t fathom that,” he said.

Both Tolbert and a VDOT representative said during Monday’s meeting they have never seen a forecast with such deadly potential in this area. Unfortunately, additional rainfall is expected before the storm even arrives.

“There is nothing more urgent or important in the county right now. This forecast has incredible potential” for danger, he told those attending the meeting.

In attendance were representatives of Pulaski County, the towns of Pulaski and Dublin, the local school system, Pulaski County Sheriff’s Office, Pulaski Police Department, county fire and emergency medical services, county social services, Virginia Department of Transportation and American Electric Power.

Tolbert said the EOC is officially opening this morning to keep track of state emergency operations forecasts and begin to put plans into action in the event the forecast doesn’t improve. Tolbert expects it will be Wednesday before forecasters have a more precise gauge of the storm’s track and intensity inland.

But, that’s too late to begin preparations.

“We’re advising folks to consider now what kind of supplies they would need should they be out of power for one, two, even three days. What do they need to sustain them?” Pulaski County Board of Supervisors Chairman Andy McCready said Monday morning. The Draper Fire Department member said making sure medications, especially critical ones, are readily available should be part of the plan.

If high winds combine with flooding and already saturated soil, downed trees could make it difficult, if not impossible, for emergency services to reach people to lend assistance.

The impact of Florence is expected to be so widespread in Virginia and North Carolina, McCready said it is going to fall upon local government and its citizens to take care of themselves until state and federal assistance is available.

“We are the Calvary. That’s how we need to look at this,” McCready told those in attendance at the afternoon meeting. He said it will be incumbent upon the agencies present to address issues that arise during and immediately following the storm.

McCready advises residents to also make sure their property is secured in the event of high winds and flooding. “One thing we have problems with during floods is propane tanks floating away,” he said. “Please secure propane tanks and home heating oil tanks away from any potential floodwaters. Even though you rarely see rainwater in a ditch, plan now that you will see it.”

If a 100-year flood develops, much of downtown Pulaski would be underwater. As such, town and county officials were reviewing the buildings Monday, determining what equipment and records are in danger and need to be moved to higher ground. Tolbert said discussions also were being had about where to relocate operations should buildings have to be abandoned due to flooding.

Even though the EOC is slightly outside the predicted 100-year flood plain, Tolbert said it could be moved to Dublin Fire Department if necessary.

According to discussion at the called meeting, some people in flood-prone areas already were calling the 911 Communications Center Monday to ask about the school schedule for later in the week. Although a decision hasn’t been made regarding schools, officials were encouraged some people are already preparing to evacuate, if necessary.

McCready’s advice to citizens living in low-lying areas is to “make plans now to be ready to move. Try not to put yourself in a situation where you have to be rescued by boat.”

VDOT and county officials were already inspecting around bridges and culverts Monday to make sure debris is removed in hopes of preventing blockages. Even with those efforts, the VDOT official said the amount of rain predicted could easily result in blockages.

Generators were being inspected and tested in the event of power outages and fuel tanks were being topped off, giving the county 76,000 gallons of available diesel and gasoline for use.

Bill
09-11-2018, 5:28pm
Texas Task Force 1 and the Cajun Navy are staged, ready for action, wherever the storm actually hits.


https://www.click2houston.com/news/texas-task-force-one-heads-to-east-coast-to-assist-with-storms-impact

Rest easy Carolinians.....we got your back.

JRD77VET
09-11-2018, 7:04pm
My Mom and Stepdad are in the Lake Norman NC area and as of yesterday are staying put.

My Stepmom is in Pine Level NC and staying put. Nephew and family are closer to the coast in an old trailer ( he's stubborn just like his Dad )

:angel:

VatorMan
09-11-2018, 7:07pm
Looks like this bitch is going to stay in Virginia. So just light rain for us in MD.

Will
09-12-2018, 8:21am
Now we're getting a forecast of 35-50mph winds on Sunday. Amazing considering we're a little over a 2 hour drive from either Charleston or Hilton Head.

Mike Mercury
09-12-2018, 8:41am
https://www.svtperformance.com/forums/attachments/2018-09-11-jpg.1515041/

MrPeabody
09-12-2018, 2:42pm
https://www.svtperformance.com/forums/attachments/2018-09-11-jpg.1515041/

:rofl::rofl:

NEED-A-VETTE
09-12-2018, 5:46pm
https://www.svtperformance.com/forums/attachments/2018-09-11-jpg.1515041/

:rofl: I’m gonna have to borrow that one.

simpleman68
09-12-2018, 7:10pm
My brother lives near Charleston (Folly Beach).
Shot him a text to see what he was planning and he sent me a pic of him on a beach in Costa Rica.

He flies back Sunday but he said, "no worries if I gotta stay longer, the waves are pumpin'":lol:
Scott

JRD77VET
09-12-2018, 8:04pm
Just got an email from Xfinity / Comcast


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~



xfinity


Track service updates in MyAccount >


Xfinity WiFi hotspots open to the public during Hurricane Florence

We hope that you and your loved ones remain safe during this period of severe weather. To help our first responders and the community stay connected, we're opening up Xfinity WiFi hotspots to the public until noon on Monday September 17.



We are committed to helping you stay connected during and after the storm.
Take care, and stay safe.

Jim Samaha
Regional Senior Vice President

MrPeabody
09-12-2018, 8:15pm
During the fires and evacuations here Verizon gave people a free upgrade to turn their smart phones into a wifi hot spot if they didn't already have that feature. Good PR move and they will probably get a lot of people to keep the feature and pay for it. In fact they gave it out free with the stipulation that you had to opt out of it after 30 days or you will start being charged for it.

69camfrk
09-12-2018, 11:12pm
My brother lives near Charleston (Folly Beach).
Shot him a text to see what he was planning and he sent me a pic of him on a beach in Costa Rica.

He flies back Sunday but he said, "no worries if I gotta stay longer, the waves are pumpin'":lol:
Scott

Folly is nice. My family used to stay there every summer, but we migrated back up the coast to Pawleys Island, which is where the family went when I was growing up. Heck, they of course are talking about it washing us out now. I better head to the liquor store before it's too late!:shots:

Sea Six
09-13-2018, 4:43am
Good news: The wind speed estimate at landfall is coming down.

But the storm is going to cause a lot of damage due to the precipitous amount of moisture (pun intended :D).

And IIRC most of the property damage and injuries comes from flooding and storm surge, not winds.

Hunker down if you have not already evacuated.

VatorMan
09-13-2018, 5:53am
Just remember-all the varmints will retreat to higher ground as well. So ants and snakes may make a guest appearance at your place.

Jeff '79
09-13-2018, 6:10am
Someone posted this a while back and it is the best interactive satellite view that I think that I've seen on the net.
Whoever you were... Thanks ! :cert:

https://www.ventusky.com/?p=33.9;-78.9;5&l=gust

When was the last time you saw the likes of Flo on an interactive sat map ? :cool1:

Sea Six
09-13-2018, 12:08pm
The latest GFS model (American) is just in.

Up to... 45 INCHES of rain over a portion of NC. Lots of areas in the 30" range.

This is basically a Category 2 storm with Category 5 levels of rain.

I'm afraid people are going to come back that have previously evacuated, now that the winds are down to Cat 2.


:sadangel: :sadangel: :sadangel: :sadangel: :sadangel: :sadangel: :sadangel: :sadangel:

VITE1
09-13-2018, 1:55pm
I bought two of these a few years back. They hold about 150 gallons of water in your bathtub.

https://www.amazon.com/WaterBOB-Emergency-Container-Drinking-Hurricane/dp/B001AXLUX2

simpleman68
09-13-2018, 9:18pm
Folly is nice. My family used to stay there every summer, but we migrated back up the coast to Pawleys Island, which is where the family went when I was growing up. Heck, they of course are talking about it washing us out now. I better head to the liquor store before it's too late!:shots:

A bit better at Pawleys but that whole area is over-run with tourons.
My brother hates to go anywhere because you just sit in bridge traffic.

Sure is beautiful though.
Scott

Cybercowboy
09-13-2018, 10:11pm
Looks like the best case scenario so far.

Not that it's a dry scenario mind you, but less "my roof is gone".

GRN ENVY
09-14-2018, 6:16am
Someone posted this a while back and it is the best interactive satellite view that I think that I've seen on the net.
Whoever you were... Thanks ! :cert:

https://www.ventusky.com/?p=33.9;-78.9;5&l=gust

When was the last time you saw the likes of Flo on an interactive sat map ? :cool1:

Last year with Hurrican Irma.... :rofl::leaving:

Olustee bus
09-14-2018, 7:15am
it is just hugging the coastline now.
.

Mike Mercury
09-14-2018, 7:53am
https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcTeEjiwrOjeVXn-yJtfw6NNGlh7J7YxJJIoDezLecY0o6bhJz47

Will
09-14-2018, 2:31pm
Overcast and windy here today. Not a peep from the sun.

Forecast for this weekend has now declined to 30mph winds and an inch or so of rain. We'll see.

:waiting:

VITE1
09-15-2018, 6:33am
https://www.facebook.com/1562709555/videos/10212028407376483/

Jeff '79
09-15-2018, 6:34am
:rofl::rofl::rofl::rofl::lol:

Olustee bus
09-15-2018, 8:01am
it is 9 am and the eye is still on the coast.

mrvette
09-15-2018, 8:54am
HollyLouya.....for the last TWO DAZE we have not had RAIN here in Orange Park.../Jax region......SO glad to see it shipped off somewhere else for a freeking change.....:seasix::hurray::sadangel:

JRD77VET
09-16-2018, 7:41pm
My Mom and Stepdad are in the Lake Norman NC area and as of yesterday are staying put.

My Stepmom is in Pine Level NC and staying put. Nephew and family are closer to the coast in an old trailer ( he's stubborn just like his Dad )

:angel:

I called my Stepdad today and they have had over 10" of rain. Unfortunately, the assclown that installed their bay window didn't have a clue on how flashing should be installed and they have a LOT of water coming in thru the ceiling of the dining room. :cuss: They are doing fine though. :seasix: My brother Matt and his wife Jacey have gotten less rain and are doing good too.

Received a few text messages from my Stepmom and other than excessive amount of rain, they are all fine. My nephews' trailer is holding up and the family is fine too.

I have a former coworker in western NC and him and his wife are doing well too. Lost electric for a bit but nothing major.

The remnants of Florence are supposed to head up here into PA. All we need is another 5" of rain by the END OF THE YEAR to beat the all time record for precipitation in a year.

edit-- corrected rainfall total. I heard him wrong on the phone due to a "fuzzy" connection

86RAG
09-17-2018, 6:11am
My daughter in Durham says she lost power for a few hours yesterday, but other than that, no real problems. Said there wasn't any real flooding either. :hurray:

On the other hand, the piece of land we are looking at on High Rock Lake in Salisbury is probably under water now. :banghead:

StaticCling
09-17-2018, 8:50am
My brother in law in Charlotte are doing fine, as are my inlaws in Williamsburg VA, nothing crazy in VA.

Still no word on our rental property in Jacksonville NC, but that town got hit hard with floods...I'm not too optimistic. :ohnoes:

JRD77VET
09-20-2018, 9:09pm
............ My nephews' trailer is holding up and the family is fine too.

............

Texted with my brother today ( SC ). He said they've had worse Nor'easters. They came out OK :hurray:

My nephew Cody's trailer is completely ruined from flooding. Time to find a new home :sadangel:

VITE1
09-21-2018, 7:17am
We left Florida Sunday AM to NH. We followed the bitch all the way to NH. It took us three days to get here. The wind was not that bad but the rain was very heavy at times.