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Old 01-15-2016, 7:18am   #1
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Default Stocks & Oil & All That Fun Stuff

During the last correction in which the S&P fell almost 12% and recovered quickly, I was all in cash. I went half in at 10% down, and if you remember, I said that I would go all in at 15%. Well, the S&P never made it there and I ended up 11% for the year in my 401k, and sitting on the cash
That being said, I'm still sitting on 50% of my cash. 15% down from the top on the S&P is in sight. That would be 1815. My 401k is now down 3% since I went half in.
Anyway, I'm hoping to get in around 1825 and then leave it alone for a while.
Oil is below $30.00 a barrel this morning !! I think $25~ will be the bottom. Once that bottom is reached, the market will begin it's recovery.
This stuff takes time and fascinates me.
Anybody out there know anything?
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Old 01-15-2016, 7:40am   #2
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Buy low. Sell high.
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Old 01-15-2016, 7:45am   #3
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Originally Posted by Dixievet View Post
Buy low. Sell high.
Don't put a hair brush in a vagina.
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Old 01-15-2016, 8:34am   #4
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Luke 12:33-34-

33 Sell that ye have, and give alms; provide yourselves bags which wax not old, a treasure in the heavens that faileth not, where no thief approacheth, neither moth corrupteth. 34 For where your treasure is, there will your heart be also.

Luke 12:40-

40 Be ye therefore ready also: for the Son of man cometh at an hour when ye think not.
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Old 01-15-2016, 8:37am   #5
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Buy low. Sell high.
damnit, I wish I had thought of that. Sounds like a good idea.
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Old 01-15-2016, 8:45am   #6
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Buy low. Sell high.
Aim high, shoot low.

U.M.
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Old 01-15-2016, 8:48am   #7
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Originally Posted by Jeff '79 View Post
During the last correction in which the S&P fell almost 12% and recovered quickly, I was all in cash. I went half in at 10% down, and if you remember, I said that I would go all in at 15%. Well, the S&P never made it there and I ended up 11% for the year in my 401k, and sitting on the cash
That being said, I'm still sitting on 50% of my cash. 15% down from the top on the S&P is in sight. That would be 1815. My 401k is now down 3% since I went half in.
Anyway, I'm hoping to get in around 1825 and then leave it alone for a while.
Oil is below $30.00 a barrel this morning !! I think $25~ will be the bottom. Once that bottom is reached, the market will begin it's recovery.
This stuff takes time and fascinates me.
Anybody out there know anything?
I guess I dont know anything special, but I do know that gas here has been predicted to go as low as $1 a gallon, if you could figure out how that translates to $ per barrel I would think getting close to that would be a good buying point. I have been looking at oil myself lately, specificly Marathon and Murphy USA which are both American companies. Marathon (MRO) is under $10 a share right now, down from a 12 mo peak of about $30 last May. Murphy USA (MUSA) is around $60 but dropping, peaked at $70 last may. Too soon to buy right now. As long as you arent planning to retire in teh next 3 years I think you could buy in now and be OK for the comeback.
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Old 01-15-2016, 8:52am   #8
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I guess I dont know anything special, but I do know that gas here has been predicted to go as low as $1 a gallon, if you could figure out how that translates to $ per barrel I would think getting close to that would be a good buying point. I have been looking at oil myself lately, specificly Marathon and Murphy USA which are both American companies. Marathon (MRO) is under $10 a share right now, down from a 12 mo peak of about $30 last May. Murphy USA (MUSA) is around $60 but dropping, peaked at $70 last may. Too soon to buy right now. As long as you arent planning to retire in teh next 3 years I think you could buy in now and be OK for the comeback.
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Old 01-15-2016, 9:56am   #9
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It seems to me that when oil gets lower, buying into a master limited partnership in oil services would be good. right now, Oppenheimers steelpath mlp is down but the dividends have not changed at all. I think the prices are down because investors relate low oil prices to the the mlp's when the price of oil has not changed their performance.

http://www.oppenheimerfunds.com/inve...lp-income-fund
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Old 01-15-2016, 10:31am   #10
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I bought 100 shares of Amazon stock in 1999, possibly early 2000, for $63/share. It went up to about $85/share and I sold, making a nice little profit of around $2k.

Had I just kept that stock, it would be worth about $1.5 million. So...
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Old 01-15-2016, 10:49am   #11
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I bought 100 shares of Amazon stock in 1999, possibly early 2000, for $63/share. It went up to about $85/share and I sold, making a nice little profit of around $2k.

Had I just kept that stock, it would be worth about $1.5 million. So...
Jeez, that's got to hurt.

I have a friend that had the opportunity to buy Berkshire Hathaway 'A' stock back in the early 80's for I think around 300 bucks a share, he was considering investing 100k in it, never did it. It would be worth in excess of 60 million today.

He is already a very wealthy guy, but jesus. He still kicks himself on that one.
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Old 01-15-2016, 11:23am   #12
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Old 01-15-2016, 11:58am   #13
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Buy low. Sell high.
Hard to do if you are subject to random drug testing....
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Old 01-15-2016, 1:01pm   #14
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Don't put a hair brush in a vagina.
or whipped cream I hear too....
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Old 01-15-2016, 1:21pm   #15
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Gas here is down to about $1.55.

Check this out:

There will be chaos: Big Oil’s collapse and the birth of a new world order - Salon.com
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Old 01-15-2016, 1:52pm   #16
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Just filled up at $1.45 - no discounts. that was the pump price
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Old 01-15-2016, 2:14pm   #17
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I know a few people here that do that.. they buy gas low over in town at 46 peso per liter and sell it for high @ 52p by the Coke bottle
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Old 01-15-2016, 6:05pm   #18
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Love that show
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Old 01-15-2016, 6:51pm   #19
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Anybody out there know anything?
It seems like the more I learn the less I know when it comes to investments. I do the best when I learn a little about an investment and go with my initial gut feeling on it. The single biggest thing that has kept me out of trouble over the years is I know a line of shit when I hear it.
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Old 01-15-2016, 6:54pm   #20
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It seems like the more I learn the less I know when it comes to investments. I do the best when I learn a little about an investment and go with my initial gut feeling on it. The single biggest thing that has kept me out of trouble over the years is I know a line of shit when I hear it.
I hear that.
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